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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1998 Short Picks

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To: Ploni who wrote (3800)3/2/1998 8:03:00 AM
From: Candle stick  Read Replies (5) of 18691
 
Have you seen the article in Barron's on AMZN this week? Wow, Alan Abelson
makes me look like a lover of the stock! I have never seen such a thorough bashing
and picking apart of a worthless company done so vehemently by Barron's
before.......you would have thought I wrote that article...for all you know they just
copied my posts!.......;^)

A few juicy quotes from page 4, Alan Abelson column.........

" Amazon has minuscule book value- the stock is now selling at well over 60 times
book value. And it is completely unburdened by earnings and in no apparent danger (
at least for this decade, anyway) of showing a profit."

and this one.....

"As with America Online and Yahoo!, moreover, Amazon is a favorite of the strange
creatures who haunt the chattery precincts of the Web where stocks are touted. We
don't mean to be too hard on those designated touting outlets; if nothing else they keep
the many spooky souls who frequent them occupied and off the streets."

....sounds like Barron's doesn't think much of the MF and other chat rooms like it......

and finally this one....

" What continues to nag us about Amazon, apart from the absurdity of its valuation and
its failure so far to show a profit, is competition. Part of the reason for the company's
rapid growth is that it was first out of the gate and, for awhile, had the field all to itself.
Then Barnes and Noble weighed in. And Borders is poised to take the plunge as well.
Last week, moreover, another heavyweight. Bertelsmann AG, the conglomerate out of
Germany, unveiled plans to launch an online operation, tentatively dubbed Books
Online. Bertelsmann comes to the fray with some big guns: lots of dough, considerable
smarts about book retailing in this country, a database of 35 million active book and
music club members in the U.S., Canada and Europe and a huge global network of
warehouses."

I think he plagiarized most of my posts! He did forget to mention all the insider selling
though....that you got exclusive from candle stick......I bought March 70 and 75 puts
on Friday for the correction next week....think we retest the break at 66 right away,
after this negative press....good luck....;^)

>>>If AOL can raise its prices 10% and get a big boost in stock prices, why can't AMZN do the same?<<<

Simple, competition in AMZN business is enormous. AOL has virtually no competitors.............when you have no competition you can charge what the market will bear. When half a dozen bigger players with more money are copying your business model, you can't.......;^)
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