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Technology Stocks : VLSI Technology - Waiting for good news from NASDAQ !!!

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To: Robert Scott who wrote (3085)3/2/1998 12:50:00 PM
From: Kevin Hay  Read Replies (3) of 6565
 
VLSI's been in the 19's twice this year..., before this
news came out. It can only be 'this market' that's
keeping it up right now.

I'd say yesterday's news counts as a change in
fundamentals, at least for a 1-2 year outlook. My
pricing model has changed from expecting low 30's
to ~17.5 after adding in recent news. (see previous post)
When VLSI was at 38 that was still reasonable given the
projected growth. But look at the projected growth now.

I'm surprised to not see mar-qtr eps cuts yet.

Like many, I look for companies that've been unfairly
beat up, but I think being below last year's quarter is no
small thing, especially when things have degraded so
quickly. The company said sales will get back to 'more
normal levels' in the second half of the year, which is
basically saying that next quarter is hosed too.

What's the near-term case for VLSI going higher ?
Because Kirk says so?

thanks
-Kevin

PS. We'll definitely get more downside resistance as we
approach VLSI's book value (~11 - 12/97).
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