SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Biotech / Medical : VVUS: VIVUS INC. (NASDAQ)
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: James Baker who wrote (5751)3/3/1998 12:22:00 PM
From: LoLoLoLita  Read Replies (1) of 23519
 
>>Now the laws of probability would dictate that sooner or
>>later that 100% string will be broken, so this is not a
>>very good argument IMO.

James,

I have training in mathematics and risk analysis.
Could you please elaborate on your claim above, in essence,
that future behavior will ALWAYS show deviations from
observations of past behavior?

It's like you're saying that just because we've always had
a 100% probability that a given coin comes up either heads or
tails (akin to the 4-8 month FDA approval range you cited),
THEN, sooner or later, we're bound to have that tossed coin
come up as something else (that is, other than heads or tails).

Cheers,

David

P.S. the doctors here all quibble over technicalities,
and it makes for a much better discussion.
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  

HomeMailHotSubjectMarksPeopleMarksKeepersSettings
Terms Of UseContact UsCopyright/IP PolicyPrivacy PolicyAbout UsFAQAdvertise on SI
© 2025 Knight Sac Media.  Data provided by Twelve Data, Alpha Vantage, and CityFALCON News