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Technology Stocks : Wind River going up, up, up!

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To: Allen Benn who wrote (2834)3/5/1998 10:38:00 AM
From: Mitchell Jones  Read Replies (3) of 10309
 
>>(Even Mitchell subscribes to the theory of the market winding down expectations about the NC and I2O, as reflected in revenue growth converging asymptotically to around 40%, and EPS growth decelerating from well above 75% to a last reported 47%.)<<

Actually, I don't subscribe to that theory. I believe earnings margins are dropping because Ron has chosen to make WIND more of a service company and is willing to invest the higher margin royalty and license monies to accomplish that goal;therefore,I don't see an immediate return to the higher margins of the recent past.

It is said that accounting is in the art of the presentation. I openly disagreed with Jason when he expressed concern over misinterpretation of last quarter's charges, feeling that investors were too sophisticated to be confused by one time charges. I failed to think through the full implications of those charges!! Instead of having a few million less in cash and a trailing PE of 60, WIND still has its full cash hoard and a trailing PE of 214!! I fully realize you don't place much importance on trailing PEs, Allen (nor do I, for that matter), but the truth is that Brokers say " What is the PE?" is the first question asked by most clients when discussing a stock. A needless hurdle for WIND to clear when the transaction could have been reported as a charge against cash and the whole issue avoided.

Dick Kraber gets my vote for a slap on the wrist for a blunder in the presentation of this simple transaction-- the first wrist slap I have voted since making my purchase of WIND stock.

Mitch
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