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Technology Stocks : Novell (NOVL) dirt cheap, good buy?

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To: Paul Fiondella who wrote (20796)3/7/1998 8:26:00 AM
From: dwight vickers  Read Replies (4) of 42771
 
Paul,

"The Dow is at 22 times earnings".

And the S&P is at 26 times, with earnings expected to grow 3-4%.

Fascinating. I wonder when the incongruity of that will start to sink in.

However, as bearish as I am long term, the sentiment isn't right for a major secular top. A big decline to scare everyone could happen any time from these levels. And maybe the hook this time will be sentiment not confirming.

But the market acts like it's going to go up no matter what external elements are appearing. Just like every other major top in history. We could see 10,000.

It would only take a couple of days in a blowoff. But the risk to long term investors is so extreme, it's horrifying.

Dwight
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