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Strategies & Market Trends : Graham and Doddsville -- Value Investing In The New Era

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To: porcupine --''''> who wrote (44)3/7/1998 4:42:00 PM
From: porcupine --''''>  Read Replies (3) of 1722
 
Wayne Compares Interest on Bonds With Earnings Yields Stocks:

[An editted excerpt from a work in progress]

....[E]arnings, whether 'fully reported' or 'cash' are mostly not
received by investors. They are reinvested. That is where the growth
comes from.

In order to compare them to bonds you must reinvest most of the bond
interest and compare earnings/cash earnings to the new bond income
stream. ....[I]t takes almost a lifetime to catch up to the highest
quality corporates. That has never been even remotely the case in
financial history. That this is lunacy is even more obvious when you
consider the fact that the corporate earnings streams are essentially
full of it when stock options etc..are considered. As a private owner
those options expenses would be very real. If markets truly are
efficient over the long haul ("a weighing machine" Graham) they will
someday be important in investors calculations. (reality that is)

If you were a private owner you would have to be a maniac to accept
the additional risks and active management responsibilities while
never seeing the same income that bonds could get you in your
lifetime. Maybe your grandchildren's!

Wayne
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