When I visited the Heartsoft booth at the Orange County (Orlando) Convention Center today, I had the opportunity to meet and talk with the company's investment banker, Mr. Steve Dotson. In his view, the firm is poised for a move soon from small to medium-size company status. The successful launch of the THINKOLOGY software series and continuing sales of past releases provide the infrastructure for the next phase of corporate growth.
The catalyst for growth will be more software engineers building bigger and better software titles, and a larger sales and marketing force to move the merchandise. The premise is that Heartsoft has demonstrated conclusively they can manufacture and sell a critically acclaimed software series (THINKOLOGY) -- now it's a matter of scale-up to the next level of revenues and earnings.
Scaling up requires capital. Dotson is looking for a $250K "bridge" over the next several months followed by a $2M to $3M infusion of cash over the next two years to underwrite the next increment of growth. As an investor, I cautioned against more private placements or other equity offerings which would dilute the number of shares currently in the float. Dotson agreed. He also argued for finding the type of "strategic partner" that could be counted on to hold shares (nothing drives down price in a relatively illiquid stock like impatient shareholders trying to unload).
I asked Steve if he had been courting any "big name" educational software companies at the convention. He said, "Four or five". I asked if they are recognized in the business and he said yes. I told him that my experience with another Bulletin Board stock recently might by be instructive for Heartsoft.
In the past few months I have taken a position in General Magic, Inc., a company that has a smashing product (like THINKOLOGY) called Serengeti, and has populated its Board of Directors with some real heavyweights -- there's a thread on Silicon Investor (GMGC) if you'd like to read more. They were trading between a dollar and $1.75 as I built my position. All of a sudden last Wednesday the stock nearly tripled in a day. The catalyst was an announcement that Microsoft had invested $9M in GMGC and had secured some unstated rights to license technology.
Nine million dollars is pocket change to Bill Gates. But the blush of respectability Microsoft brought to GMGC via their investment is, of course, priceless. I encouraged Steve Dotson and Ben Shell to seek out such a strategic partner for Heartsoft to fund the next leg up. Dotson also noted that such an alliance would not only provide cash and legitimacy, but also an opportunity for Ben to be mentored by some of the true corporate heavyweights in educational software.
As the company grows over the next few years, the goal would be to initiate an acquisition strategy -- either buy out firms or get bought out yourself. Either way, patient investors in Heartsoft ought to realize significant gains on their holdings.
Patience is the key word. In other words, hang on to your shares -- I think this stock has a bright future, particularly if a fiscal/technology strategic alliance is skillfully crafted. |