FSII - The Worst is Over? Message Board

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Technology Stocks : FSII - The Worst is Over?

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To: ccryder who wrote (1819)	3/7/1998 8:00:00 PM
From: Donald Wennerstrom	Read Replies (1) of 2754

The following table I have shown once or twice before. In one way it is easy enough to read, but as always, I have a hard time understanding the results. The table shows Friday's closing price, the percent change from the previous week, and the PE for this year and next year. The PE figures are based on the most recent updates of earnings from Zacks. I have left 5 of the 37 companies off this list. They are SUBM, PHTN, NANO, TRKN and TGAL. They either had no predicted next year earnings or the predicted earnings were negative. Near the bottom of the table, CFMT, WFR and WJ have no listed "this year" PE's since they are either zero or negative. The stock table is sorted by next years PE ratio as opposed to percent performance for the week. There seems to be very little, or no correlation with the PE ratios and the amount each stock suffered last week. Some of the table entries with very good PE ratios at the top of the table had very large percentage losses last week. Some of the stocks with higher PE predictions at the bottom of the table did not lose nearly as much percentage wise. I have tried this technique before and have obtained the same result. ONE 03/06/98 WEEK CLOSE PERCENT P/E SYMBOL COMPANY PRICE CHANGE CURR YR NEXT YR CMOS Credence Systems 29.38 -12 15 11 SVGI Silicon Valley Group 25.56 -6 15 11 IMSC Integrated Measurement Systems 11.25 -17 13 11 COHU Cohu 40.75 -12 12 11 SMTL Semitool 12.88 -6 19 11 HELX Helix Technology 21.13 -7 17 11 ASEC Aseco 10.25 9 23 12 VECO Veeco Instruments 29.63 -14 18 12 TER Teradyne 41.13 -13 16 13 KLIC Kulicke & Soffa Industries 24.56 -11 16 13 SFAM SpeedFAM 24.44 -8 15 13 LTXX LTX 5.31 -3 25 13 ASYT Asyst Technologies 22.59 -17 15 13 NVLS Novellus Systems 41.81 -13 17 13 FSII FSI International 12.38 -8 28 13 GSNX Gasonics 13.13 -10 21 14 MICN Micrion 13.38 -4 22 15 ETEC Etec System 49.25 -6 21 15 GGNS Genus 2.22 -7 222 16 AMAT Applied Materials 33.50 -9 20 16 MTSN Mattson Technology 8.25 -12 24 17 KLAC KLA Instruments 39.44 -15 19 17 PLAB Phototronics 25.50 -13 20 17 BRKS Brooks Automation 15.44 -13 110 18 EGLS Electroglas 17.50 -5 50 19 PRIA Pri Automation 30.31 -13 28 20 CFMT CFM Technologies 16.50 -6 21 IPEC Integrated Process Equipment 17.88 -3 28 22 UTEK Ultratech Stepper 21.75 -4 22 25 WJ Watkins Johnson 27.94 3 28 LRCX Lam Research 26.56 -6 379 35 WFR MEMC Electronic Materials 16.00 -6 38

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