NEUTRAL TRADING STRATEGIES Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : NEUTRAL TRADING STRATEGIES

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To: Udo W. Perkuhn who wrote (14)	10/17/1996 12:31:00 PM
From: Ralf Toumi	of 18

Dear Udo, I think you are missing the point. 10-15% per year year return is extremely difficult to achieve over any long time stretch. You mentioned some stock that would need to stay up to get you that return. Here we are talking about diversification, the risk is very different (violent moves up or down). I think that diversification is the key to long term finacial health, this is obviously forgotten in every bull surge, but remains true. I realise that most of you are US investors and may have a blinkered view of stock markets. Last time I looked the US return over 5 years is amongst the best in the world. In other words you guys are in an exceptional position at the moment, but I doubt wether you will be in 5 years time. The message to me is that: There is no God given right that stocks must go up even for several years (probably over decades they all do). See France, Italy, Japan, Thailand, Mexico .... Best wishes, Ralf, London

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