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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: Bonnie Bear who wrote (14865)3/9/1998 8:54:00 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu   of 94695
 
BB and Bill my sense is that the market is rotating relative fast,there are stocks taken out and shot, within their own bear markets INTC, MOT, CPQ comes to mind and other just startin to move KM for example or S retail stocks who were in trading range or after a long basing pattern.

This may have to do with the new flow of information, transparence and discount commision. As the public at large has an positive, e.g. bullish bias stocks move up. IRA's and 401K and ohter saving accounts can not go "short" but money is flowing there, I just added more for 1997, it sits in cash but I think, I am the exception!!

the fact that Joe Six Pack is paying down it's debt at a 15% rate in January only makes me think that the full employment with RE going up gives the public more confidence. The full employment counter balance SE Asia deflationary pressures.

This thogether with the restrain on Capitol Hill bodes well short term. Short term rates are historicly quite high - almost 3 times rate of inflation and oil is still going down.

I subscribe to the theory that if SE Asia recovers it will start the infaltion spiral and then the market will go south. To date we were saved of the deflation spiral.

BWDIK

Haim
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