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Technology Stocks : Western Digital (WDC)
WDC 278.54-0.4%3:59 PM EST

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To: Stitch who wrote (8876)3/10/1998 3:43:00 PM
From: Jay Lowe  Read Replies (1) of 11057
 
> <<I think NT5 is going to act as a catalyst ...>>
> Why?

1. It'll take over 200MB to install

2. Most installed base is FAT16, with FAT32 on new PCs

I believe NT5 will mark the end of FAT16, implying another discontinuity in demand ... i.e., HPFS and FAT32 opens a larger perceived space ... and work will expand to meet capacity ... IOW, when the synthetic volume size limitations of FAT16 go away, then there will be a lot more pull for bigger disks.

Listen to the thought patterns you hear now ... "I saved 20% by repartitioning, etc, etc" ... very common FAT16 consciousness. My interpretation is that the "volumitis" of FAT16 limits the pull for huge disk simply because of the silly complications that FAT16 involves.

"Anything less than a factor of 2 is irrelevant" ... FAT32 and HPFS will blow the doors off PC disk expectations ... and that will reach it's fullest realization with Win98 and especially WinNT5.

Also, I expect, based on my own experience, that NT5 will mark the transition of NT onto the consumer desktop.

My guess ...
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