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Non-Tech : Any info about Iomega (IOM)?

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To: Philip J. Davis who wrote (9242)10/18/1996 12:03:00 AM
From: Ken Pomaranski   of 58324
 
Lots of wierd stuff going on tonight. I never fail to be amused
by the posts, that's for sure. It breaks up the monotony of
work....

Just some more paranoid thoughts (just thinking aloud about what
long term position to take)...

I believe that Q4 is going to be about the last of it. Here is why:

(1) Jaz is not contributing as much as expected. (will it ever?
don't know with DVD, and optical coming around)

(2) Tape drives are a commodity.. I'll write these off..

(3) That leaves ZIPs. A one product company... hmmm... When margins
get squeezed here (already happening) the trouble could begin.

(4) Don't see any quarter getting much above .10/share (.40/year =
trailing P/E a constant 62.5 or so. hmmm.. a little above the
average for mass storage companies ;).

(5) Year over Year comparisons are going to get A LOT tougher. (no
more: Sales TRIPLED this quarter or EARNINGS UP 500%, etc.)

(6) Move to NYSE: short term: GREAT! long term: BAD! Not many
fund managers will be buying 62.5 PE stocks with 20% year over
year growth. Those longs will be wishing for the old days in
about 6 months..

Nothing I've seen (or heard, I listened to the conference call) makes
me want to be a long term long. BUT the short term looks very interesting.
I expect to make a PILE of money going both short and long over the
next 3 months. This will be a great trading stock.

I expect a huge pop over the next few days (to 30+), then a crash
back down into a trading range. I expect to make good money on both
ends of my 'strangle' or 'combination', expecially the long side.

We've got about 6 months left...

kp
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