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Technology Stocks : Disk Drive Sector Discussion Forum
WDC 155.73-2.7%11:30 AM EST

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To: LK2 who wrote (2778)3/11/1998 11:45:00 AM
From: Pierre-X  Read Replies (1) of 9256
 
Re: TrendFocus

This is good news!

I said before, in my original paper on cycles, that shitty forecasting is what (in part) causes booms and busts in certain industries. A gloomy forecast like this is just what the doctor ordered. All the elements are falling into place so sweetly.

1. Grim forecasts
2. => reduction in build plans.
3. => slowdown in supply curve expansion
4. Demand stimulators: Win98, DVD, Broadband
5. => Demand curve shifts hitting just as capacity growth is choked off
6. => The next HDD boom. We'll probably see a nice DRAM boom to go with it, because conditions are being replicated in that sector, which has gone through an even worse bust than HDD.

It's almost time to buy. <G>

God bless,
PX
w3.to
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