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Strategies & Market Trends : Bill Wexler's Profits of DOOM

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To: Larry McColloch who wrote (364)3/12/1998 11:51:00 PM
From: Jim Roof  Read Replies (4) of 4634
 
What I cannot explain is the gap up about a week ago. I do not follow this stock and I assume it was news related. After this gap the stock remained near the top of the gap rally range (around 15 if I remember right) and the volume dried up.

This is known as a flag in Technical jargon and the general rule is that when a flag forms it tends to do so at the halfway point of the total rally. This would mean that AVNT now has a tendency to trade about 2 points higher to about 18.

I want to reiterate that these are just observations based upon history of other issues but the historical evidence supports these tendencies. Next time you get a big gap and the price holds while the volume dries up - get ready to cover or get ready to buy.

The volume drying up is the key. This means that there is a short supply of stock (not short trading related) and any demand for it will drive prices higher.

Jim
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