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Technology Stocks : Compaq

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To: van wang who wrote (21664)3/13/1998 10:51:00 AM
From: Tom M  Read Replies (2) of 97611
 
VW, I don't think the majority can imagine any more uncertainty than there is currently in CPQ right now. All the questions/uncertainty are flying about, and the price seems to be basing. The next "shoe", some are waiting for is bad DEC earnings. That's old news and has been in DEC's price. DEC announced in their last earnings report that analysts would have to lower estimates for this Q, and it is known to followers of DEC that they will have ASIAN impact as well as their usual reductions due to currency impact. I'll agree that there's a good chance that many who don't know this will panic depending on how the street will chose to spin it. Anybody's guess as to whether those who expected that news anyway will be buying the dip rather than selling, mitigating the drop. I'd have to say the street isn't usually immediately supportive of mergers, yet they're getting DEC for about 2X book which is a rarity in this market. It's also costing CPQ very little in cash when you sum it up with DEC's current & future cash from Intel & Cabletron, & even less when DEC's tax losses can be carried over. I don't think this is an average merger. I think DEC's shareholders will only be willing to accept it because they know they have the right technology now, they're just dying for a winning CEO.
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