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Technology Stocks : PC Sector Round Table

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To: Yogi - Paul who wrote (5)3/17/1998 4:47:00 AM
From: Pierre-X  Read Replies (2) of 2025
 
Re: Forecasts Adjusted

PC sales growth to fall off in '98
news.com
IDC is forecasting 13 percent growth for the PC industry as a whole in 1998 ... a slight decline from 1997's growth rate of 15.2 ...

As investors we want expectations to be as low as possible, creating a situation of economic rents when the too-low forecasts are exceeded.

Allow me to quote from one of my favorite writers, Mark Twain:

In the space of one hundred and seventy-six years the Lower Mississippi has shortened itself 240 miles. This is an average of a trifle over one mile and a third a year. Therefore, any calm person, who is not blind or idiotic, can see that in the Old Oolitic Silurian Period, just a million years ago next November, the Lower Mississippi River was upward of one million three hundred thousand miles long, and stuck out over the Gulf of Mexico like a fishing rod. And by the same token any person can see that 742 years from now the Lower Mississippi will be only a mile and three-quarters long, and Cairo and New Orleans will have joined their streets together . . . There is something fascinating about science. One gets such wholesale returns of conjecture out of such a trifling investment of fact.

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God bless,
PX
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