Brazil's Kandir sees '98 growth above expectations
Reuters, Tuesday, March 17, 1998 at 11:36
CARTAGENA, Colombia, March 17 (Reuters) - Brazilian Planning Minister Antonio Kandir said on Tuesday that Brazil's economy will grow more than two percent this year, adding that forecasts under one percent are incorrect. Kandir told Reuters he saw no reason for further public spending cuts at this point, and expected Brazilian interest rates to contine dropping as fallout from the Asian crisis eases. "I am absolutely convinced that the worst is over and it is very unlikely that there will be any direct contagion from Asia in Brazil," he said in an interview during the annual meeting of the Inter-American Development Bank. The IADB has forecast Brazilian growth at under one percent for this year. "No, we don't agree with that. It is more likely that growth will be somewhat above 2 percent this year," he said. International Monetary Fund economists said they do expect the Brazilian economy to speed up later this year. Brazil's international reserves, which declined in 1997 as the government scrambled to prop up the real, will rise to close to $60 billion by year-end, Kandir said. Kandir reiterated that Brazil will maintain its exchange rate policy of gradual depreciation of the real, and there will be no sudden devaluations. "President Cardoso has made it quite clear he will not change the exchange rate policy during his current term nor in a second term if he is re-elected," Kandir said.
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