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Technology Stocks : Compaq

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To: Loki who wrote (22091)3/17/1998 4:34:00 PM
From: Mike Gordon  Read Replies (3) of 97611
 
Math Lesson:

1st Quarter Write Off due to Channel Stuffing. $500,000,000
Number of PCs in Channel (Units) 250,000

Average retail per unit (Estimate)
75,000 Units @ $2500
100,000 Units @ $1200
75,000 Units @ $ 800

Average write-off per unit (Estimate)
75,000 Units @ $2000 New Cost to Customer $500 per Unit
100,000 Units @ $2000 Pay Customer $800 per Unit
75,000 Units @ $2000 Pay Customer $1200 per Unit

New Stock Price Per Share $23.50

Conclusion:

A. Reason for no earnings is unknown to share holders or public.
B. <1K PCs really cost more than $1K.
C. Next quarter will be better than anticipated.

Mr Mason, Inquisitive share holders want to know!

Mike Gordon
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