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Technology Stocks : Gorilla Game

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To: Elmer who wrote (16)3/18/1998 11:48:00 AM
From: Wizard  Read Replies (1) of 387
 
The book has a fair amount of basic momentum strategy. This works great when the companies come through on the hypergrowth expected and absolutely miserably if they don't. The book talks about market capitalization as a % of the groups capitalization as a confirming signal. This is inherently reactive to other investors which is basically what momentum investors do; figure out what is moving and chase it. I don't think there is any use in this metric. We are trying to make money, not get confirming signals from the rear-view mirror.

ITWO/MANU are application software companies so although ITWO looks like it is the stronger company, that doesn't mean it will get you a better return over the next 6-12 months. Both stocks do look like buys as chimps like these two should grow nicely over the next 12 months and neither is outrageously priced if you look at market cap / revenues. Much more important than 'market cap as a % of category market cap' is what is happening this quarter and whether growth will be above or below whisper numbers. MANU is about to announce results and they didn't pre-announce any problem so I would anticipate a solid EPS report and a very bullish conference call.
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