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Technology Stocks : Micron Only Forum
MU 226.65-3.2%3:59 PM EST

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To: rob who wrote (30659)3/18/1998 12:07:00 PM
From: TREND1  Read Replies (1) of 53903
 
rob
You wrote
<<The only thing which can be good here, which is something you
impiled is if MU is among a "minority" of DRAM vendors who can
provide PC100. I don't feel this true (based on my experience in
the dram design biz)
and second the slower -8A parts will be
plentiful while the more difficult -8E parts don't offer much
improvment over -8A so they might carry a premium, but volume
will be small too.>>

rob
Your above comment that I have made bold is very interesting
to me. A recent email I got (will not say from whom) indicates
low supply of 64MEG SDRAM right now and he is indicating
a shortage in near future.

This also bring up the comment made by Micron CEO that all
6 inch fabs are being taken off line.

This is the key to guessing at the SUPPLY/DEMAND equation.
DEMAND is going at 70% to 100%, while SUPPLY is growing at
70% to 100%...BUT smaller die only increase existing fab by 40%.


These are "BIG" percentage increases each year. One little
slip in either DEMAND or SUPPLY and .....

Well ! It sure makes MU a great trading stock (g)

Larry Dudash
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