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Strategies & Market Trends : Telebras (TBH) & Brazil
TBH 0.956-0.1%Nov 25 3:59 PM EST

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To: Doug Chin who wrote (1240)3/18/1998 9:44:00 PM
From: Tony van Werkhooven  Read Replies (1) of 22640
 
Doug, my first reaction to your post was that your PE assumption was way to high. Now consider the following:

SYMBOL P/E
TDP 13.2
TL 19.2
TEO 24.3
TAR 19.9
TMX 16.4

Now, I would say that your assumption of 20 is somewhat to high.

Other positives of this company after privatization are:

1. acceleration of installed fixed line base
2. potential for cost reductions
3. more focussed companies- easier to analyze and predict results

If we use TMX as a proxie, one could come up with 250 as a reasonable value. This would not be giving credit to potential earning acceleration after privatization.

Doug, this is an interesting exercise- how do we refine this? In any event, this confirms that we have a long upward ride ahead of us.

Tony
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