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Technology Stocks : Microsoft - When to short
MSFT 517.81-1.5%Oct 31 9:30 AM EST

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To: Russ who wrote (85)3/19/1998 3:30:00 AM
From: Moominoid  Read Replies (1) of 96
 
>Any info on why now is a better time than >any other? From TA or FA perspective?

Fundamentally I see it as overpriced. Given Microsofts dominance of the software industry and its already huge margins, I can't see it maintaining profit growth in the way needed to justify price.

I have my own method of technical analysis based on some time series econometrics theory (nothing like any other TA method) which shows it has passed the peak for the moment. It last picked up the same signal at the peak in July and then a buy signal at the dip in December.

>In general, shorting this stock is bad news.

I made money on shorting MSFT back in December.

David
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