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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor
GDXJ 97.44-1.2%Nov 14 4:00 PM EST

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To: Gabriela Neri who wrote (8572)3/20/1998 1:38:00 AM
From: PaulM  Read Replies (1) of 116762
 
Re: the U.S. Stock Market Insider Sell/Buy Ratios v.The Dow

Here's a site which seemed a consistent predictor when I was an Avid Stock Trader.

argusgroup.com

Worth bookmarking, because it seemingly never fails to tell you where the DOW will be a couple of months down the line.

It plots the ratio of insider sell filings to buy filings as received by the SEC on a graph which also shows the DOW.

From late Dec to Feb, I noticed that insider SELL/BUY ratio reversed the prior negative trend and went down rapidly, a very bullish indicator. I couldn't believe my eyes when iI saw it, given Asia and all.

But, as usual, they were right. In this case insider info was particularly useful as Mergers and Stock Buybacks propelled the market, even as fundamentals worsened.

However, I post this now because the filings received at the SEC this past week show the SELL/BUY ratio shot up to nearly 5. That's off the charts. I've never seen it that high (the 8 week average has now become neutral).

We're now seeing a spectacle I've seen in the past as the public buys even as insiders unload. And of course, there's no doubt as to who will be proven right.
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