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Strategies & Market Trends : Telebras (TBH) & Brazil
TBH 0.945-1.1%Nov 26 3:59 PM EST

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To: Mayer Tchelebon who wrote (1259)3/20/1998 12:04:00 PM
From: Michael Burry  Read Replies (3) of 22640
 
Ask yourself how the market is valuing TBR to get an idea
as to how to value the remainder + the government's share since
both preferred and common trade.
You can look at it as roughly 320M shares total, with a 10%
control premium in the voting shares putting maybe a 5-10%
margin of error into the market cap calculation. The
market may be off but not by 60%. No way will I accept that
they are paying $20B for 21% of Telebras. Wishful thinking
these $300 numbers. Moreover, my guesstimates take into account the present value and circumstances. Of course, 2 years from now the shares could be worth the equivalent of $300 or $400
to us. As a shareholder I'd like to believe what you're
saying but it just doesn't work out.

Mike
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