I gotta put in my two cents about Readware. Ccryder is correct that a poster's genuineness comes through the test of time. In my book, Readware has passed this test. Nevertheless, he has said something's that are just plain wrong. But, hey. No one's perfect.
Here's my impression: He knows quite a bit about the satellite *business*, and knows just enough about satellite/space *technology* to put his foot in his mouth on occasion. This Jupiter impact thing is a perfect example. A comet hitting Jupiter will affect the Jovian gravity about as much as spitting in the ocean will raise the sea level. As for myself, I learned a long time ago that I shouldn't say things I don't know. I have also learned that others have not learned this lesson. I think that Readware falls into the latter category. Whether it is because of arrogance or ignorance I don't know. That is not important.
But what is important, in my opinion, is that sometimes Readware has been right on. He obviously puts in a lot of thouhgt/study into his posts. Also, I have a print out of a LOR share-price prediction he made about a year ago, and LOR has meet or exceeded those predictions. So, I absorb part of what he says, and filter out the fluff. The part I absorb I scrutinize with information that I obtain via other sources.
For example, I wish to focus on something Readware said around the 1st of Feb. At that time G* was trying to get off the ground, and having weather problems, and also scheduling problems with a IRIDF launch out of Vandenburg. He made a comment about how things would likely get rescheduled, and then backed it up with the following remark, "I heard a tape of the conversation between the Iridium control center and the Globalstar control center". Well, I heard the conversation too, but first hand. And I was stunned that he had obtained a copy of the conversation. He definitely has some good connections.
So Readware blew the lay off rumor. Maybe his informant was on vacation. If he is 50% right, then his information is valuable. The trick is going to be figuring out which 50% is right.
Mr. A |