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Gold/Mining/Energy : Royal Oak-RYO

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To: littleguy who wrote (805)3/23/1998 10:12:00 PM
From: Bill Jackson  Read Replies (1) of 1706
 
The bondholders are no doubt one of the three groups that RYO is dealing with. It depends on their sense of risk. Being bondholders they have a strong hand(first lien on Kemiss), but venture vultures might present a better offer, in the way of deferred shares like reg S or D, or some kind of warrants?? Those shares sell at a discount of 20-40% of market and cannot be sold for a lengthy period, typically two years, but need not be paid as they are equity, whereas a bond person wants coupons clipped and with Gold down and Kemiss a lean start coupon payments are to be avoided, especially high rate coupons, for the risk. The standard vulture will also want cash flow soon and might also have a gun to her head to the effect that if a timeline is missed we sell "this", and then that and after a while there is little left.
Do not forget that gold may not turn tomorrow and if they have extra bonds to pay or vulutures to feed it it will be a long oneraous task to draw back from the brink.
I think most SH would rather sell some shares, deferred and at a discount. Right now we are so low that if I am angry at that idea and think the Reg S/D/warrabt people are getting a steat, well I can buy my own shares at these prices RYO could go way up if gold does well.

Bill
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