Actually, wouldn't that be 49% of 5% of $15 million?
Correction: Since this is a JV, and assuming it's a 50% split (although we don't know what the split is), it's 50% (Tomahawk's share) of 49% (ARET's share of Tomahawk) of 5% (profit) of $15 million.
5% * $15,000,000 = $750,000 (profit portion of gig) 50% * $750,000 = $375,000 (TCC's portion of profit) 49% * $375,000 = $183,750 (ARET's portion of TCC) $183,740 / 150,000,000 = $0.001225 (per share) $0.001225 * 15 (rough PE) = $0.018375
Looks to me like getting this gig should add nearly two cents to the stock price. Can someone check me on this?
Sadly, I've been going merrily along for several months completely unaware that ARET only owned 49% of TCC. Meaning all of my previous predictions (private and public) need to be cut in half.
Personally, I think this company has a lot of potential. I just need to go back and recalculate how much that potential really is.
It's just too bad things are panning out the way they are. Would've been much more fun (and profitable) to watch the effect of "exciting news" from a 2 or 3-cent base, rather than from where it is now or where it might be by the time such news actually hits.
I hope "Peanut" will increase his participation, as it would help raise the knowledge level of the thread. I hope he drops the demeaning attitude, though. I've always gotten enough of that from the company. |