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Technology Stocks : MetaCreations (MCRE) - Detailed Goo in a Soapy Dream

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To: beenay25 who wrote (573)3/25/1998 3:08:00 PM
From: shahn  Read Replies (1) of 846
 
Matt -- thanks for the comments from Seybold. I knew
MCRE had a booth there and was wondering about it, so
I'm glad to hear they looked OK.

I think 7 1/4 is fairly valued at the moment -- p/e of 28
which is OK for a stable growing hightec company which MCRE
still is, so I even increased my posn 33% just now.

But its not the high-flying company worth 17 it was a while back
because the stream of innovative new products seems to be
more replaced by consolidation phase of improving old ones,
which is a different style altogether. Maybe its a necessary
transition stage, or maybe the creative stream just dried up.

What I mean by dated is not the shift to consumer from high-end;
thats just why I bought MCRE the consumer products like goo
and soap and the consumerisation of productivity software like
bryce. Its more

-- where are the radical new products (not old ones like editing
pictures which everyone does now)

e.g macr has so much weboriented stuff. So MACR: hot, MCRE, not

eg they promised once a new 3d browser or something. We expect
something useful, magical, innovative.

-- where are they on VRML. probably you know more about that
side than I do and can comment

-- where are they on 3d hardware accelaration -- nowhere

The other stuff like the real3d scanner is still up there in
the expensive developmental/specialist stage and I havent
been counting on it for the near term. But,

-- where are they on that in terms of coming to market, which
was talked so much about by Wilzak about a year ago

Anyhow, am willing to average down a bit and give them
time to consolidate, see what the new top managment and
Kai can come up with.

One thing that encouraged me recently: on the MCRE website
there are about 12 positions vacant on all fronts from
top engineers to quality control (they need it!). I'm
not an expert but it seems to me not insignificant. Either
they lost a lot of people when they moved house last summer
which they still didnt replace (!) or, more likely, they are
expanding. What do people here think?

I guess end of march is when we expect the next earnings.

Shahn
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