SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : BFT: Will the tulip craze ever break down?

 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: Pancho Villa who wrote (166)3/25/1998 11:27:00 PM
From: robert elmasian  Read Replies (2) of 650
 
Pancho, a recent Forbes article about accounting
tricks to enhance earnings and increase a company's
stock price was posted by Stephen D. French to SI.
Message 3816170

I suppose, in your case, it is preaching to the
choir. Still, you and others may find it interesting.

If BFIT, or any other company for that matter, is
pulling such tricks, the question for investors
is what to do when. It appears, if you believe
the article, the very accounting trickery you decry
just about guarantees a rising stock price until
a rising house of cards is no longer sustainable.
The question is when does such a structure come down?

If one forgets any moral indignity about chicanery,
it seems to me an investor would want to be long
such a stock until the point it appears in danger
of breaking. Then, one would want to be short.

The only guides as to the turning point which
I can now conceive would be 1) an extreme,
unsustainable upward acceleration in price,
such as that produced by a short squeeze,
2) a general collapse in the overall market
which would motivate those propping up a stock
to move their money into safer vehicles, or 3)
a large secondary offering suggesting that
those on the inside are about to distribute
inflated stock and run.

Can you or anyone else expand (or decrease)
the above list?

Bob
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext