quick comparison: mcre making money, though not a whole lot macr losing money, but its an internet stock now
as I recall, macr had this cash pile, that they seem to have used well in developing new products. Their share price collapsed when it was percieved that they had only one old product, director, under threat from mtropolis and other newbies, and shockwave also old and fading + scandal and lawsuits. But suddenly mtropolis was killed off and macr have redefined themeselves as in internet stock with awardwinning webauthoring tools, dreamweaver. And internet stocks are supposed to lose money so nobody minds anymore. So they have a new lease of life, new promise and the stock doubles. I thought of buying some but its a different play than mcre.
By contrast, also has some cash, dont know how much. But my guess is that they are spending it more on expansion, solidifying their corporate image, 'moving up' to a bigger player. I have no sign at the moment that they are going for the webauthoring market. [But they should; all those consumers wanting to make home pages with soap-like products not complicated macr director like things for real mmedia types; they want to put their photos and poems and family trees (OK brod can do that) so I think theres a market. Of course MSFT etc all will be competitors so MCRE have to do it in a unique creative way but they've done that before. This is my wish-list not reality as far as I know.]
I thought the insider buying a while back was also encouraging, however. No matter how small, if an insider is going to buy they'll probably have a good feeling for a promising time to do it. Of course I dont know the details of that particular purchase.
One should probably wait for some real signs of a turnaround in strategy or signs of successful transition to a bigger company before averaging down. Nobody should follow me on that. I'm just an impatient optimist.
Happy trading,
Shahn |