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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Paul Senior who wrote (3651)3/26/1998 11:10:00 AM
From: Michael Burry  Read Replies (2) of 78530
 
Paul,

It's not hard to see what the problem was. I ID'd my own problem late
in 1997: it all comes back to portfolio concentration and the antsy feelings that come with owning very few stocks. The other issue was that there were constant cash withdrawals from the account - 40% of
that account went out the door last year. Now I'm
dealing with money that isn't needed for at least 10 years.

When I only had 4-6 stocks, it was hard to sit on a JBM
and HYDEA as 1/3 of the portfolio. Too illiquid and
manipulated by MM's. It's easier to be patient when the bid/ask on
something like HYDEA doesn't eat up 2-3% of your portfolio each day.
So far in 98, I've had just two stock sales, but I still have >7.5%
positions in each, so I basically own everything I've bought this
year.And my portfolio swings haven't been more than 1% in one day on
the downside all year. Never more than 2% even on the upside.

This peace of mind, and in my opinion more disciplined and successful
investing, has come from a 10 stock portfolio. In my reading,
I rarely see anyone recommend a 10-12 stock portfolio, though it
eliminates about 90% of the non-market risk. Going to 16 stocks
only takes you to 93% and going to hundreds of stocks only gets
you to a few more percentage points.

Still can't explain why I didn't buy JBM when I saw it at 2 5/8
in January though...

Mike
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