More info on White Oak/Oak Associates and ASND...
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Excerpt: "Ascend (ASND:Nasdaq)
"Probably the most attractive thing it has going for it is that its stock is decimated. We think people make the mistake of bailing out of decimated stocks. If you think they are going to rise from the ashes and you think the valuation is cheap enough, you want to be adding to a stock like that.""
Under The Hood: White Oak Growth for the Steel-Nerved Investor
By Brenda Buttner Special to TheStreet.com 3/26/98 9:09 AM ET
Jim Oelschlager isn't one for the in-betweens. When the president of Akron, Ohio-based Oak Associates likes something, he likes it a lot. And since he created his concentrated large-cap growth fund nearly six years ago, he's liked tech.
So much so that more than 50% of his White Oak Growth fund is devoted to the sector. "I know of no other area that has the consistent opportunity for growth -- along with reasonable pricing ability."
That aggressive style of taking big stakes in his very favorite large-cap names (the portfolio is usually composed of fewer than two dozen stocks) has little room for in-betweens. The concentrated approach always means higher volatility than your plain-vanilla diversified fund. Add to that a big weighting in turbulent tech and you're just asking for a wilder ride than on my hometown wooden rollercoaster in Santa Cruz, Calif.
But even though he trailed the S&P last year after taking a hit in the fourth quarter, Oelschlager manages to see a lot more highs than lows. He's one of the few active managers who has beaten the market over the long term. Since inception in August 1992, White Oak Growth returned 25.0% a year on average, far outdistancing both his category average (18.5%) and even exceeding the S&P (21.4%). His five-, three- and one-year track records are just as impressive. In each case, he is ahead of both his peers and the index, according to Lipper Analytical Services.
MANAGER Jim Oelschlager CONTACT NUMBER 1-800-932-7781
FUND White Oak Growth Stock ASSETS $526.3 million EXPENSE RATIO 1.0% LOAD No YTD RETURN AS OF 3/25/98 17.6% 5-YR ANNUAL RETURN 26.9%
FUND Pin Oak Aggressive Stock ASSETS $39.1 million EXPENSE RATIO 1.0% LOAD No YTD RETURN AS OF 3/25/98 16.0% 5-YR ANNUAL RETURN 15.5%
Data from Lipper Analytical Services
Oelschlager credits his success to a buy-and-hold discipline that gives his fund a low turnover rate (8%), even during the last part of last year when many tech-heavy managers were running for the hills. Oelschlager says that's when his 29 years of investing experience come in handy. (He was formerly a pension fund manager for Firestone before opening his own money management firm.)
"Sometimes it's less fun than other times. But when I was losing a percent a day against the S&P, I just hunkered down and kept reminding myself that I'm gonna see the flip side of this."
And indeed he has. Year-to-date, White Oak is off to a strong start, up 14% already. He's the first to tell you that rate is unsustainable, but Oelschlager is very bullish about 1998. "I think it's gonna be a lot better than most people think. There are a lot of things out there that are extremely positive."
Inflation and interest rates mainly. And Oelschlager, who takes a top-down approach to investing, predicts they'll head even lower. "Interest rates are the biggest thing determining what happens in the stock market. If productivity continues as it is and inflation keeps going down, that will give us multiple expansion in the stock market. And multiple expansion in the growth stocks will be the greatest."
With that optimistic outlook for the economy, he says he'll keep buying the tech stocks that have been first choice in his portfolio for years.
On his buy list:
Cisco (CSCO:Nasdaq)
"It can go a lot higher; it's just a function of time," says Oelschalger of his top holding in White Oak Growth and its small-cap sister, Pin Oak Aggressive Growth. I'd say up 30% a year for the next three years, which may be significantly less than Cisco has done in the past, but I'm very confident it will be achieved."
Applied Materials (AMAT:Nasdaq)
"The semiconductor market is here to stay and is probably going to grow. Applied Materials is going to build the plants for them. Of course, they were beat up dramatically 18 months ago, and again in the fourth quarter, when everybody thought no one would build another fabrication plant. We knew that was silly. We just held it and continued to add where we could."
Ascend (ASND:Nasdaq)
"Probably the most attractive thing it has going for it is that its stock is decimated. We think people make the mistake of bailing out of decimated stocks. If you think they are going to rise from the ashes and you think the valuation is cheap enough, you want to be adding to a stock like that."
The turmoil in Asian markets that provided a rough ride to tech stocks last year doesn't worry Oelschlager much. "I don't think it's gonna be a significant impact on tech companies -- really more of a speedbump." But, although a big tech fan, he does not buy the sector indiscriminately. Case in point: Microsoft (MSFT:Nasdaq). He hasn't been adding to the small percentage he owns because he thinks it's overvalued. (That was before the stock jumped this week on its upside earnings surprise!)
It doesn't hurt that, in addition to the tech heavyweights he does like, White Oak Growth fund is also chock full of pharmaceuticals that can act as buffers when the Asian markets roil. He's a big fan of Pfizer (PFE:NYSE) and Merck (MRK:NYSE), both of which he's held for some time. "The pharmaceutical play is a bit like the tech play. Most of the major companies are in the U.S. and more and more people should be and will be taking these drugs. As people get smarter and people get older, there's going to be an increased demand for prescription drugs."
There certainly has been increased demand for his product. White Oak's numbers have not gone unnoticed although the small two-fund company does no advertising. But Oelschlager, still far from a household name, says he has no plans to close the $526.3 million fund anytime soon. "The fund could easily double from here and we wouldn't have any trouble adding to these names."
Shareholders who do jump in find that, unlike many tech-intense funds, White Oak has low expenses in addition to low turnover. But they should keep in mind that one potential mark against its manager is that White Oak's sister small-cap fund, $39.1 million Pin Oak Aggressive Stock, which Oelschlager also shepherds, has been performing quite poorly.
Pin Oak's poor performance can in part be attributed to the troubles small-caps have suffered. For the past five years through March 19, it's returned just 14.2% a year on average, compared with the 18.2% average delivered by other small-cap funds, and the 22.1% offered by the S&P during that period.
Pin Oak is catching up a bit lately. In the last 12 months, it returned a respectable 33%, just squeaking by the category average, but still behind the S&P. Oelschlager makes no apologies and says it may take some time for the market to realize the value of some of his lesser-known small-cap techs.
Oelschlager has no plans to change his concentrated, tech-passionate strategy for either fund. And he's not afraid to take risks with his shareholders: He, as well as his kids and grandkids, is invested in the funds.
But he's careful to warn potential investors: "Be prepared for some tough times. We're gonna have some down periods, and you oughta assume we're gonna start on a down the initial day you get in."
Brenda Buttner's column, Under the Hood, appears every Thursday on TheStreet.com. At the time of publication Buttner own shares of Microsoft and White Oak Growth, though positions can change at any time. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks or funds.
See Also
UNDER THE HOOD The Men Behind Michael -- Ray Garea and Larry Sondike 3/19/98 10 AM
UNDER THE HOOD Marsico Strong Out of the Gate 3/12/98 9 AM
UNDER THE HOOD Nasty but Unnoticed Fund Fees Eat Away at Your Returns 2/26/98 9 AM
UNDER THE HOOD ARCHIVE |