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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1998 Short Picks

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To: Pancho Villa who wrote (5597)3/27/1998 3:24:00 AM
From: T. Mann  Read Replies (1) of 18691
 
Pancho,

I am still trying to get a feel for the mechanics of the convertibles. Which ones are the best (from the short perspective, of course)? Is it always possible to tell from a press release or SEC filing?

Here is a fresh example:

"Thursday March 26, 4:13 pm Eastern Time

Company Press Release

Organogenesis Inc. Announces $20 Million Equity Funding and 1997 Fourth Quarter and Year End Results

CANTON, Mass.--(BW HealthWire)--March 26, 1998--Organogenesis Inc. (AMEX:ORG - news) today announced completion of a $20 million financing of Convertible Preferred Stock with two institutional investors. The preferred shares pay no dividends and are convertible into common stock on a scheduled basis over the next two years based on market price at time of conversion (up to $36 per share). In addition, the investors received 160,000 three-year warrants to purchase Common Stock at $39 per share. Reedland Capital Partners, a division of the Financial West Group, acted as placement agent in the offering.>>

Is it a floorless convertible? If it does not pay a divident, what is the incentive for the investors to hold the preferred shares if they convert "based on market price at time of conversion"???

The stock has just had a huge run-up before this announcement. I think the bulls expected over $100 mln equity investment from Novartis who already owns worldwide rights to their wound dressing. This is actually a very ZONA-like "biotech" stock. Nonsensical, useless "revolutionary" product, $200K revenues vs. $4.5 mln expenses in Q4, $5 mln cash, $800,000,000 market cap...Sounds familiar, doesn't it?

I would appreciate your comment. Thank you.

T.
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