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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna
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To: William H Huebl who wrote (15337)3/28/1998 4:24:00 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (2) of 94695
 
Bill; Sometime ago I think you said if the market every makes sense
to you , then you would no you got something wrong.
Or something to taht effect..anyhow..the light came on..
it's like trying to figure out what a crazy person will do next..
and that crazy persons' fits of insanity are not always the same,
nothing can really be depended on..except it going to be crazy,
so I guess we need several plans to deal with it.
But the bookies have such an edge we must also be crazy to even
play the game.
Anyhow..my TA is saying down..my FA is saying up..hard to tell
i can already hear someone screaming " who has that kind of power." but i don't know who it will be.
My idea about jumping in a little gold fund, hasn't a lot to do
with the market..other than gold looks up ( not real strong or
for long ) but it's got some short term appeal just because
the market is confused at the time.
It has not done frazz since 93..when I think it responed to
low interest rates more than anything else..seems low interest
rates spark fears of inflation..the inflation itself don't
do it, like the fear of it ...no body is talking about inflation
yet..which don't come as much from higher wages or such, as it
does from the lack of products and demand being higher than
supply..and with most consumer products we got a lot of supply,
so no real inflation pressure..yet. So gold may get a bubble,
but needs something else to do very much or keep going.
The Y2K thing may be a factor.
But none of it makes much sence so I guess it's Ok.
Jim
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