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Technology Stocks : Cymer (CYMI)

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To: TideGlider who wrote (16125)3/30/1998 7:47:00 PM
From: jeffbas  Read Replies (4) of 25960
 
I call a 10-15% revenue decline and $.10 to $.15 earnings for the quarter, down from $.25 in the prior quarter, a "crummy" quarter
regardless of the excuses. However, the fact that there seem to be so much "denial" on this thread suggests to me that a price decline is more likely than I previously thought.

Analysts carry $.09 for this quarter, .08 for next, .41 for the year, and .93 for next year. Therefore, I conclude that analysts think these problems will continue all year. IF this is indeed what the company will do, I predict the stock will trade between $15 and 25 for the next 12 months.

I also think that any negative comment I might make on this thread
might have a short term impact of perhaps 1/16 on the stock, and a long term impact of exactly zero.
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