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Technology Stocks : INFORMATION ANALYSIS (IAIC) - YEAR 2000 Date Remediation
IAIC 4.280+12.3%Dec 16 4:00 PM EST

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To: Matthew F. Kern who wrote (1366)3/30/1998 8:06:00 PM
From: Sid Turtlman  Read Replies (2) of 2011
 
Matthew: Is your $3.00 estimate for 1998 or 1999? What would you guess the ratio of eps for 2000 to 1999 would be? Wouldn't it be considerably under 1.0?

After all, after 1/1/00 any projects would be mopping up operations, rather than top dollar we-gotta-get-it-done-now type things. By then, all the extra capacity built up by the various competitors to meet the 1/1/00 deadline would be chasing after the mopping up jobs, I would think, lowering pricing and margins on that business.

In fact, as the more far sighted companies finish up their y2k projects in the next year, I would think that the price per loc would start dropping, as that extra capacity comes into the market, even before 1/1/00. If your $3.00 estimate is for 1999 and then earnings plummet, the stock is no bargain here. OTOH, if the $3.00 is for 1998 and $5.00 or something is on tap for 1999, there may still be some upside left. What am I missing?
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