Proteon Followers;
I have been following this stock for awhile and feel that they have the corner in sight. A few things I noticed about the 3rd quarter numbers that make me feel this way are:
1) There revenues were equal from the second quarter, however, in the third quarter there was no software licence revenue. This shows that their hardware revenue is picking up.
2) Their account receivable went from $6.7M to $9.5M. In the past they have been able to turn over account receivable at 1.5 times a quarter. If sales continue at the growth rate you may be looking at a 4th quarter revenue of about $14M. If you run this revenue out based on their current cost of sales and GS&A the forth quarter will be very close to break even. This assumes no great increases in sales promotions. (see chart below) Also look at the inventories... Management must see potential to stock up so much.
I think this time next year we will be looking at a company making .15 to .20 cents per share earnings per quarter. Any respectable P/E on these numbers would put this stock back up to $8-12.
Just my thoughts. Thanks for listening..
Rich
PROTEON, INC. CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (in thousands)
September 28, December 31, 1996 1995 ASSETS Current assets: Cash and cash equivalent $21,656 $32,692 Accounts receivable, net 9,743 12,138 Inventories 11,171 4,425 Deposits and other assets 1,597 1,457 Total current assets 44,167 50,712 Property and equipment, net 7,132 8,317 Marketable securities 1,000 --- Total assets $52,299 $59,029 |