Novell (NOVL) dirt cheap, good buy? Message Board

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Technology Stocks : Novell (NOVL) dirt cheap, good buy?

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To: Jim McCormack who wrote (21481)	4/1/1998 12:32:00 AM
From: hhill	Read Replies (1) of 42771

re: But will you upgrade to 5.0? Since we are currently running nw 4.10 and already enjoy the benefits of nds the move to nw 5.0 for us will be based on need. When we need what nw 5.0 can provide we will upgrade. We will move to nw 5 in the summer of 99 due to the y2000 issue. Nw 4.10 has a few utilities that are not completely 2000 compliant, although the core os is ok. As I said before I can't see any benefit to moving to nt 4 or 5 as THE network os for us. Active directory will be playing catch up with nds for at least 3 years after it is released. Even the "vapor ware" propaganda from ms regarding active directory reveals it's weakness. If I need an application that only nt can provide I will put in an nt server and run it as part of my netware network. This has happened twice so far. I see nt servers as an addition to the network, not a solution. When or if java takes off I can see nw gaining even more ground as an application server, possibly eliminating the need for nt servers completely (long term - pure speculation). If you had asked me last year I would be more cautious, nt seemed to be on everyones "must have" list. However my perception of a turn around in novl's prospects and their renewed drive to supply products that businesses need, plus my less than happy experience with nt network administration have me re-thinking the ms jugernaught. They are really trying hard; just look at nw for small business- 5 user os, oracle server, groupwise 5.2, fastrack server, dial up isp connectivity, ca virus - backup and fax products all bundled for under $600. Remarkable. Back to the point; I think it is the nw 3.x installed base that will make or break novl in the next 2 years, not the nw 4.x users. These users have to upgrade to nw 5 or nt before 2000. If novl can convince them that they can provide the required services then lookout. Last time I looked the installed 3.x base was around 50% of the nw users. Imagine the potential revenues for novl.

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