<<Usually, the top Select funds by this time of year remain the top Select funds for the rest of the year.>> Have you tracked this, or is this a general observation having invested in the Selects for a number of years?
Just a general observation, Robert. I have no documentation. But, if you look back at the results of the last several years, you'll see that there's always one of the funds that's up over 100% or more. One year, it was Electronics. One year it was American Gold/Precious Metals. One year, it was Energy Services. One year, it was Biotech. There's always at least one fund that's really HOT !! And, it my observation that once a particular fund takes the lead, it very rarely relinquishes that lead for the rest of the year. My birthday is on February the 8th. That's the time every year when I get my first inclination as to what fund is the leader. From then on, I try to divide my money between the top three Select funds. Then, I reallocate as the top three change. So far this year, I'm up about 17% in my IRA money. That works out to about 68% per annum. Pretty good return. I also have a charting program called Telescan and I will sell when the 3-month chart with 9 and 3 day moving averages go sour. But, picking the top three funds does a really good job for me. You may be able to make more money by bottom-fishing these funds but I prefer the momentum investing approach. (At least in a rising or flat market. In a falling market, I stay in the Money Market fund) I'd love to hear other approaches. Speak up, everyone out there. That's why we're here. |