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Technology Stocks : Loral Space & Communications

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To: Dragonfly who wrote (2395)	4/1/1998 5:02:00 AM
From: Thomas	Read Replies (1) of 10852

Dragonfly, re: Sept GSTRF options, do you have the launch schedule on hand and the Readware price forecast for GSTRF? I agree that the options seem to be a reasonable play. At the end of the day, what you are effectively betting on is the success rate of the Zenit launches, yes? Looks as if the market is pricing in substantial event risk, as it seems to me that the volatility of GSTRF would otherwise argue for a higher time value for the September calls (gut sense, as I don't have any Black Sholes models to play with). I'd be interested to hear thoughts on this subject. Cheers, Thomas

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