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Technology Stocks : RATIONAL SOFTWARE- BUY OR HOLD

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To: Bosco who wrote (2304)	4/1/1998 7:31:00 AM
From: J.R.	Read Replies (1) of 3115

New year for Rational, finally... FY98 ended yesterday. Today we enter a year of earnings growth. Yesterday Rational was trading at a multiple of 39 times current year estimates and today it will be only 24 times current (FY99) estimates. Last October Levy said revenues would grow 25%,year over year and also that EPS would grow 45% from FY98 to FY99. Comparisons are going to be easy this FY. Even the March quarter just ended will be, because last year both Rational and Pure Atria disappointed. The combined numbers should be about .07 per share vs. estimates for this year around .12 to .14. I believe this year will compare with 1996. That year EPS were met and exceeded each quarter. As a matter of fact the share price improved by 36% during the month of April. Would be nice to see history repeated.

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