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Technology Stocks : Ascend Communications (ASND)
ASND 199.01-1.6%3:10 PM EST

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To: ALAN who wrote (41991)4/3/1998 8:52:00 AM
From: ALAN  Read Replies (1) of 61433
 
I believe that ASND should hit 43.5 next week (barring a market correction) based on the following reasoning -

At the current price of 70.25, CSCO trades at 40.37X current years earnings estimate and at 32.83X next years estimate.

At the current price of 39.375, ASND trades at 33.76X current years earnings estimate and at 27.24X next years estimate.

I believe that ASND estimates are conservative as many analysts were burned last year and and are waiting for positive confirmation that ASND is back on track. I am hoping for a bullish conference call next week and earnings roughly in line with the .25 consensus.

If this happens, ASND should trade at around 30X next years estimate of 1.45 or about 43.50. In addition, with a positive conference call, we should see upward earnings revision.

Any thoughts appreciated.
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