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Technology Stocks : Lucent Technologies (LU)
LU 2.480-0.4%10:44 AM EST

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To: RetiredNow who wrote (2030)4/4/1998 12:34:00 PM
From: Jacques Tootight  Read Replies (4) of 21876
 
<I still think they are both overvalued>

I think the whole notion of "overvalued" is overvalued today.

I challenge you to find find something thats NOT overvalued right
now using the traditional measurements for value. I'll bet chances
are pretty good they will be companies not many of us are interested
in buying.

I own 11 stocks right now and follow a dozen others. Almost without
exception people on the msg boards that follow them are screaming
"overvalued". And you know what, they've been saying it for three
or four years now. We are simply going to have to adjust our concept
of value.

This bull is just NOT going to stop running. In spite of the chicken
littles out there the sky is NOT going to fall. Sure we'll see some
pull backs like last fall but unless World War III breaks out they
won't last long. If Slick Willie and the Far East couldn't make
the market crash nothing short of a major war will.

Am I bullish, you bet your sweet bippie. As long as this economy is
left alone to perform the way it has we'll be just fine. Money is
pouring into the market and its not going to stop. Why?

1. More and more companies are getting out of the pension business
and turning their retirement plans into 401k plans. New ones are
starting all the time in small companies. Most only have mutual
funds to choose from.
2. An army of baby boomers like me are figuring out we don't have
enough money saved for that veranda in the sun and are saving
very aggressively.
3. Generation X feels they have no hope to see a nickel from Social
Security and are saving like no other twentysomething generation
before them.
4. Money from troubled economies is coming into the country looking
for a safe haven.

Where is all this money going to go? The money managers have to put
it somewhere and most of it will keep going into the market because
they know they'll catch a bunch of flack for keeping too much cash
or buying too many bonds.

Sorry I rambled on too long, I'm just getting a little tired of hearing about overvaluation. Everthing is overvalued in the traditional sense, but its a dead tradition and new times.

Everybody don't worry, be happy.

RC

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