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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO)
CSCO 73.99+3.1%Nov 12 3:59 PM EST

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To: RetiredNow who wrote (13100)4/5/1998 6:29:00 PM
From: Frank Yashar  Read Replies (2) of 77398
 
A very successful friend working on Wall Street
once told me to always look at the forward P/E
ratios. In other words, the P/E ratio calculated
with the next 12 months expected earnings. He said
that is a better predictor and explanation for
stock prices, in general, compared to the P/E
calculated using the last 12 months earnings.

To say that Lucent is insanely overpriced
due to a P/E ratio of 170 shows a
misunderstanding of how the market prices
companies. Lucent (LU) is trading at
a forward P/E ratio of 40 as of a few days
ago. My reference is:
investor.msn.com

Now, one may reasonably argue that Lucent is overpriced
or fairly priced, or the market is overpriced or
not (I personally think the market is overpriced and
I have moved more toward cash), but to say that
it is "lunacy" for Lucent to trade at a P/E
ratio of 170 is simply not doing the analysis correctly.

Frank
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