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Technology Stocks : Altaba Inc. (formerly Yahoo)
AABA 19.630.0%Nov 6 4:00 PM EST

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To: Golfstud who wrote (9209)4/7/1998 3:37:00 PM
From: RDH  Read Replies (1) of 27307
 
Golfstud,

1. How do you know YHOO will be worth anything in the year 2001?
The technology to create a YHOO is very simple. If Microsoft wanted
to incorporate all the functionality of YHOO into Internet explorer
they could do it within a six month time frame. Companies like YHOO
and XCIT would be hit very hard.

2. If companies like YHOO can turn a profilt for more than a year
or two straight, expect lots of new competition (I know this is
a restatement of 1.).

3. What about WEBTV ongoing expansion? The default browser for them
is XCIT -- if everyone get used to using XCIT (which has a cooler
name) than what happens to YHOO?

It seems to me that the risk of holding onto YHOO is much greater
than selling. If YHOO beats earnings by several cents the stock
price won't move up much right away. Maybe five points before
the market opens. However if YHOO only matches earnings expectations
than expect YHOO to plummet. And if YHOO disappoints -- since
everyone considers this so unlikely, look for YHOO to actually
crash.

I can understand holding IFMX, SUNW, ORCL, KO, MSFT or any other number of stocks for the long term (with confidence). But if I
had big profits from YHOO at this point, it would be hard to justify
holding -- I think I would sell before earnings and if earnings look
good, then buy it back. At worst I would lose out on $5 per share
gain. In the scenario of holding on to YHOO through earnings,
the worst case is that I could lose out $20 per share before the
stock even opened.

Anyway this is my opinion: perhaps it is because I work with
technology for a living -- so does the management of YHOO and I
suspect that is why they have sold significant shares in the $50's
and $60's.

- RDH
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