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Technology Stocks : SPYG in the mid-teens

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To: Eric Ostling who wrote (114)10/30/1996 12:28:00 PM
From: Roger Brown   of 219
 
Eric,

Sure i would completely agree that NSCP has a very high PE...who can't?

BUt there is a fundamental difference between the two companies looking at historical data...

NSCP's revenues the past 8 Q's are ($MM):
.7, 4.7, 11.9, 20.8, 40.6, 55, 75, 100....

AS NSCP increased revenues just under 400% from 20.8 to 100, SPYG only increased 54% from 4.2 to 6.6...

Also, Using .09 EPS for NSCP's last Q and annualizing that...the PE drops to 125...still very high, but at least the company is growing
213% annualized from the past two quarters sequentialized...

Go long on SPYG if you wish, however realize potential share price conflicts...my 2 cents....

PS...i think SPYG has a great future, but they just need to prove it and after one year as a publically traded company, growing 50% isn't enough to justify a PE greater than 60 in the immediate future, especially since the Director (CEO?) stated that earnings and revenues might suffer over the next 12 months...

I will definitely admit that i was incorrect before as i thought the release said that reveunes migth decline in total...I believe the CEO said that they might decline in growth...

How long will Wall Street Wait on this one?
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