The latest from The Undervalued Dog....
Up 3 cents on 1.2 million shares, buyer beware
SC & T International, Inc. (OTC BB, SCTI) Recent Price: $0.20/share Daily Average Volume: 205 K 98 EPS: $0.11/share (loss) Estimated 1999 EPS:$0.30/share* Trailing PE:0.66 52-week Range: $0.04-1.34/share Outstanding Shares: 22.94 M Floating Shares: 19.14 M Profit Margin: 20% 1998 revenues: $7.5 M Estimated 1999 revenues: $20.3 M** SEC reporting:Yes
* Estimated operation EPS will be $0.09/share, the jury award (finally settled at $1.825 million) and annual loyalties ($3 million) from its patented technology will add another $0.21. ** 1999 estimated operating revenues will be $15.5 million, the jury award and annual loyalties will be $4.825 million.
SCTI is extremely bullish. Tendencies for prices to continue to advancing are extreme at 95-100% with a short term (3-12 months) upside potential of $0.75 and a long term (12-24 months) upside potential of $2.00.
BUSINESS SUMMARY AND CORPORATION BACKGROUND: SCTI was formed in June 1993. The Company develops and markets accessory and peripheral products for the computer and video game industries under its PLATINUM SOUND and PER4MER registered trademarks. The Company's products include sub-woofer, speaker and sound enhancement systems (for PC's and PC gaming systems), a PC volume controller, and a line of PC and Video Game arcade racing wheels for SEGA, Nintendo, Sony Playstation and IBM-PC's. The Company's multimedia keyboards line has been discontinued, in favor of a second generation product targeted at the corporate market. This second generation, features an enhanced Voice Recognition product, has been completed and has been introduced into the market. The company segregates its products into two distinctive product categories. The sound products are marketed under the Platinum Sound brand name, while the companies racing wheel and other input device accessories are marketed under the PER4MER brand name. The Company's sound products include sub-woofer, sound enhancement systems, and a broad line up of headphones, microphones, and amplified speaker systems. The PER4MER line consists of racing wheel products, designed for all IBM PC's, SEGA, Nintendo and Sony Playstation game consoles. This line also includes game controller devices, Volume Controllers, and a new Voice Recognized keyboard, targeted to the Corporate market. The Company focuses on the multimedia, interactive, communications and the video gaming segments of the PC and consumer electronics industry. The company develops technology to furnish one-step, integrated solutions for the PC, MAC and Video Game user.
The market for electric gaming hardware and software has become huge with great potential for growth around the world in the past decade. According to the estimations from the Consumer Electronics Manufacturers Association and Interactive Digital Software Association, worldwide gaming software industry sales were $15 billion in 1997, including North American $5.3 billion, Europe 4.8 billion and Asia 4.9 billion. By the year of 2000, the sales will top $23 billion. The Company markets its products to the retail video game, OEM, and corporate segments internationally, through a combination of direct sales personnel, independent sales representatives, and its wholly owned US, European and Asian subsidiaries. SCTI has a substantial untapped market potential worldwide. It is the opinion of management that the introduction of their Ultimate Per4Mer Racing products and Plantinum Sound speaker products coupled with planned new product introductions throughout 1998 will enable SCTI to position itself for continued sales growth in its core business. SCTI's products are currently sold in over 20 countries, including the United States, Belgium, Germany, France, Italy, Finland, Holland, Switzerland, Turkey, the United Kingdom, Argentina, Brazil, Spain, Hong Kong, Canada, and Russia.
RECENT DEVELOPMENTS AND ANALYSIS: SCTI recently received a U.S. patent for its Multimedia Keyboard Technology. This also involved a legal battle with Maxiswitch, Silitek and Lite-On Peripherals, which SCTI prevailed on in May of 1997 with a $3 million award. This patent will now allow SCTI to demand royalties from other keyboard manufacturers who market this technology. Three that are currently known are NMB Technologies, Maxiswitch and Silitek. The company believes that over the next 3-5 years that most corporations will utilize this form of keyboard in some way shape or form. The above companies are in the process of being contacted by attorneys. SCTI, under its ULTIMATE Per4mer brand, just introduced its Force Feed Back racing to the US marketplace the week of February 16th. This is the latest buzz word for the PC and Gaming platform. The first two US retailers for the product are Computer City and Babbage's Etc. Further roll-outs will continue in April. The company has over 10,000 of its Up-300 on back order at present (retail price: $199.99). This number will explode once the retail industry is aware the product is shipping. SCTIs racing wheel assortment, which totals 6 models, is larger than any other competitor in this category. SCTI plans the introduction of four new products that include sound products and game controller devices in 1998. Its newest product, under the Per4mer brand name, is internally code named Air Jordan. The company believes it will revolutionize the game controller category around the world. Planned introduction for Air Jordan is June 15th. The project is on target for a planned release. SCTI has negotiated a worldwide license agreement with Sega Entertainment to supply the company with software racing titles from there hottest selling racing games, convened to the Force Feed Back protocol compatible to its UP-300. Sega will also convert all racing titles to be compatible for the Per4mer race wheel. SCTI will also bundle numerous titles with its UP-300 and other Per4mer race models. SCTI has also entered into a license agreement with Mattel for the use of its Mattel Hot Wheels logo, and the Kyle Petty # 44 NASCAR race identification. Mattel represents one of the strongest worldwide logos for ages 6-16. The company expects a steady increase in revenues due to this alliance.
In 1998, SCTI intends to open up distribution alliances-networks serving the South American and Asian marketplaces. With a consumer market of over 2.5 billion people, the company feels that revenues for its products exist in these markets. The company expects to have more than $40 million of sale revenues in Asian market by the year of 2000. Current U.S. based retail and catalogue customers of the company include, but are not limited to; Best Buy, Babbages, Data Vision, PC Connections, Egghead Software, Fry's Electronics, The Good Guy's, Costco Wholesale, Tiger Direct and Micro Warehouse, Inc. SCTI's OEM customer for CD ROM audio cables is Dell Computer Corporation.
In order to control the operation and manufacturing costs, SCTI has appointed Richard W. Elwood to the position of Director of Finance and Operations. Mr. Elwood was previously a Divisional Controller for Eaton Corporation, a Fortune 100 company, Mr. Elwood's twenty-five years of financial and operations expertise is what SCTI requires to direct its internal cost cutting and restructuring efforts. The company believes that future results will have a heavy focus on profitability and shareholder value. Mr. Elwood is a seasoned professional with an outstanding track record of accomplishments. His management expertise will greatly assist SCTI's efforts in this regard.
The company has had a troubled past, including misguided management, lawsuits, losses and deletion from NASDAQ. These tragedies can be an opportunity to its future shareholders. First, recognition of non-reoccurring expenses in 1997, in conjunction with effective cost controls implementation in 1998 will greatly assist SCTIs efforts towards profitability of 1998 and years to come. Second, large NOL ($10 million) will allow SCTI not be paying taxes for next five years. This tax benefit alone will add extra EPS $0.10 for next five years. Third, most shareholders own SCTI at much higher prices, offering little resistance on the upside if there is any. Fourth, the company has no long-term debt and has $5 million hard cash ($0.22/share). According to management, April 1, 1998 is the new beginning with new management, new products, new growth, new business plan and a new vision. Fiscal 1999 (starting at April 1, 1998) will be the first year since the company's inception that it will be going into the Christmas 1998 selling season with a full assortment of current products. SCTI's nine different SKU's are more than all of the competition (CH Products, InterAct, Thrustmaster, and MadCatz). This strongly favors robust sales for SCTI. New products under the category Per4mer Racing Wheels will represent 80% of the company's revenue during fiscal 1999. New products being introduced according to management will generate higher gross margins which will allow SCTI to achieve estimated revenue and earnings for fiscal 1999 and 2000. The company is also filing the paper work with SEC and its expected that SCTI will be relisted on NASDAQ in August, 1998.
Technical analysis indicates that SCTI gradually rose to a high of $1.34 in July, 1997 from its bottom of $0.21 in December, 1996. Last October, SCTI was delisted from NASDAQ due to the delay of 10-K submission by its accounting firm. After that, SCTI has sunk as low as $0.04 from the area of $0.75 when it was listed on NASDAQ. Its Relative Strength is neutral while its On Balance Volume indicates its shares are under extremely heavy accumulation (more than 16 million shares have been traded in the past two weeks or so, ratio of buy to sell has been 4:1).
The company will have special board and shareholder meetings on April 14, 1998. In the meetings, the company will announce three major moves. First, the company will initiate a stock buy-back program up to 5 million shares (22% of outstanding shares, remember they have some cash to spend); Second, the company will work with several stock brokerage houses for supporting SCTI when it is relisted on NASDAQ. Third, the company consider to have a merger with a private company. With these recent developments, we rate SCTI as a strong buy because it has very little downside risk while the upside potential could be huge. Important |