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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services

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To: Big Dog who wrote (18885)4/13/1998 2:20:00 PM
From: Czechsinthemail  Read Replies (1) of 95453
 
Briefing.com's comments on earnings:

The earnings game has turned into something of a farce. No longer does it really matter what a company's earnings are, they just have to be beat the consensus estimate, and the stock gets bid up. It often matters little whether the consensus has dropped lower recently or that revenue is soft or earnings down. Just beat that sacrosanct number. That is the way it has been for several years, and it is likely to continue this quarter.

Overall earnings for the first quarter will be lower than year ago levels. Even though that should cause concern for a stock market that has surged during that same period and sports a lofty price/earnings ratio of 27+ on the S&P 500, it hasn't yet; and forecasting when it will become a concern is futile.


The prospects for strong 1Q earnings reports among the drillers continue to look good. As more attention is brought to the comparative values, I think there is a good chance we will see a rally.

Baird
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