Network Turbulence. InformationWeek article [Mentions CSCO WAN routing vulnerability]
pubs.cmpnet.com pubs.cmpnet.com pubs.cmpnet.com
Excerpt: "In the long term, even Cisco's WAN routing franchise is likely to come under siege, analysts say. A proposed standard called Multiprotocol Label Switching, which simplifies IP routing, could heighten competition. It will enable packet-forwarding to be understood by switches as well as routers, so more switches will be able to do the job of routers."
Despite lower prices from vendors and their own soaring bandwidth demands, many users aren't ready for next-generation products
By Monua Janah, 4/13/98
Networking equipment prices are tumbling and bandwidth demands are escalating like never before. So why are so many customers holding back from buying next-generation switches that promise to solve their networking problems?
For one thing, they've been disappointed before. The benefits of the last big networking wave--the move from shared to switched LANs that began in the early 1990s--have been short-lived. New enterprise resource planning, intranet, and other applications have already gobbled up the added capacity, leaving network managers in an awkward position.
"We've just gotten through investing in our network infrastructure, but we're seeing apps roll out that weren't even being considered three years ago," says a network manager at a major metals company. "There's no way we dare go back to management and ask for more money."
The Seattle Times has ridden the upgrade wave for four years, moving from a shared-media and router environment to a 10-Mbps switched environment up to 10/100 Mbps. "We basically broke up our flat network into smaller workgroups," says Margaret MacDonald, a senior network systems analyst for the newspaper. "About the time we got that done, the Internet and push technology came along. It blew away a lot of what we were trying to do."
Some of the problems are the result of poor planning. The move to switched networks required users to redesign their infrastructure. But some users just popped the devices into their networks without a master plan, causing poor performance, says Mark Kudel, executive director of product development at Donnelley Enterprise Solutions, a systems integrator in New York.
As a result, customers are approaching Layer 3 devices--essentially, intelligent switches that do basic routing--with a great deal of caution. At the same time, network purchasing decisions at many companies are moving to nontechnical managers reluctant to deal with the complexity of high-end products.
"I've heard Layer 3 switching discussed at a deep technical level, but I haven't heard it discussed at the executive level," Kudel says. "There's also a residual sense that the investment during the last couple of years in switching hasn't really panned out. Now there's a reluctance to jump on the next bandwagon."
Many customers are making do by buying ever-cheaper current-generation switching products, choosing from scores of new and niche vendors.
Meanwhile, a flood of next-generation products is hitting the market from vendors other than the Big Four of Cisco Systems, 3Com, Bay Networks, and Cabletron. Extreme Networks Inc. last week introduced a desktop route-switch. Torrent Networking is readying enhancements to its IP9000 terabit router that will handle large volumes of traffic at high speed. Nexabit Networks offers a 6.4-terabit-per-second switching router. This week, Neo Networks will introduce Fast Ethernet support for its 512-Gbps router, as well as a version with a smaller 80-Gbps chassis geared for enterprise networks.
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By Monua Janah
Along the parallel trend of price cutting, vendors are making moves at both the low and high ends. Allied Telesyn two weeks ago cut prices on its Fast Ethernet and Ethernet switches. Foundry Networks Inc. has slashed prices on its Gigabit route-switches and started selling a cost-effective workgroup switch bundle with Gigabit Ethernet uplinks. With the recent entry of two computer industry mainstays--Intel and Compaq--into the Gigabit Ethernet market, prices will likely tumble further, analysts say.
The combination of customer cautiousness and competitor aggressiveness has put established vendors in a bind. 3Com, Bay, and Cabletron have all posted sagging financial results in recent quarters. Two weeks ago, CEO Don Reed resigned from Cabletron after just seven months on the job.
The one major networking equipment vendor that has maintained its operating margins is Cisco. It's staying ahead partly because profit margins for big routers--still one of Cisco's main businesses despite rapid diversification--remain relatively high. Cisco has also succeeded in using the shift in customer purchasing responsibility to its advantage.
"Cisco has become the secure choice now," says Kudel of systems integrator Donnelley. "The people making technical decisions now are nontechnical, maybe because IS budgets are getting so large. Microsoft set the trend of selling up, higher in the organization. It seems as if Cisco has learned from that."
In the long term, even Cisco's WAN routing franchise is likely to come under siege, analysts say. A proposed standard called Multiprotocol Label Switching, which simplifies IP routing, could heighten competition. It will enable packet-forwarding to be understood by switches as well as routers, so more switches will be able to do the job of routers.
Cisco's LAN switch revenue is also under pressure. Its Ethernet switch revenue was flat in the fourth quarter, at just over $500 million, following price cuts in 100-Mbps Ethernet, according to the Dell'Oro Group, a research firm in Portola Valley, Calif.
Early Adopters Despite the slow start of Layer 3 switching, there are some early adopters. Texas Instruments uses Extreme Networks' Summit devices. But even here, the need was first for more bandwidth; the Layer 3 routing capabilities came as something of a bonus, says Hans Baartmans, Unix network administrator at Texas Instruments.
Nielsen Media Research is using four Bay Networks Accelar gigabit route switches in its LAN. "The performance is outstanding," says John Booth, manager of data network operations at the Dunedin, Fla., company.
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By Monua Janah
Still, Booth can't throw out Nielsen Media's routers just yet, because the Accelars don't route Novell's IPX protocol. "IPX routing is at the top of my list," he says. "I could convert the entire backbone network to Layer 3 100-Mbps switched routing if the IPX product were released. It would eliminate my dependence on the existing LAN routers."
But even when customers take the time to redesign their networks from the ground up, Layer 3 technologies don't always play a part. Prudential Insurance Co. of America, for example, is in the midst of a major network upgrade, using wide area ASX switches from Fore Systems, Catalyst switches from Cisco, and a combination of new and existing Cisco routers. "We're completely revamping our network topology, taking it from multiple legacy architectures to a new virtual network," says Bernie O'Neill, VP of distributed computing and networking at Prudential.
Under the new design, the ASX boxes provide WAN connectivity between sites; frame relay and ATM services from AT&T link Prudential's 1,000 or so offices. In the campus backbone, Prudential is deploying switched Fast Ethernet, scaling up to Gigabit Ethernet or ATM. For desktop connectivity, the company is replacing shared token ring with switched 10/100 Ethernet.
The outlay was considerable, but getting Prudential management to buy in wasn't difficult, O'Neill says. "Prudential made a fundamental decision to do business with customers any way they want to business with us," he says. "We want to entice people by providing services, and we are revamping our technology architecture in order to enable that."
Although Prudential totally redesigned its network, it plans to redeploy some existing technology: its routers. "Layer 3 switching will be the right way to go when the market really supports it in a grand way," O'Neill says. "In our environment, because we were a typical token ring shop, we routed between every segment. So we have an abundance of routing capacity, and we need routers for WAN connectivity in any case. For us, routers fill the role of the Layer 3 switches."
Averse To Change Other companies are making major investments in competing technologies, such as ATM. Chris Horrocks, CIO of Commercial Financial Services in Tulsa, Okla., says he isn't interested in Layer 3 switches. "First of all, I don't like change," Horrocks says. "And second, we've just been through this massive ATM implementation. That took over seven man-years of planning."
Moreover, lack of support for multiple protocols is keeping Level 3 switches out of corporate networks. Says MacDonald of the Seattle Times: "Part of our dilemma is that we are running multiple protocols on our publishing and business networks. There's a lot of AppleTalk on the publishing side. And most of the Layer 3 switches are IP only, so right now there's no benefit for us."
At the other end of the spectrum are companies staying miles away from Layer 3, instead of adding more cheap bandwidth as needed.
"During a period when the next paradigm is unclear, what you do is you just buy bits for bucks," notes Tom Nolle, president of CIMI Corp., a consulting firm in Voorhees, N.J. "What you should not try to do is evolve to the next level, because there are too many technologies being presented for all of them to be successful."
Because of this conservatism, older technologies like token ring are hanging on. For instance, the token ring switch market grew by 75% in the last quarter of 1997, to $48.5 million, estimates the Dell'Oro Group.
Hewitt Associates, a benefits consulting and human resources firm in Lincolnshire, Ill., decided to remain with token ring switching when building a new facility rather than move to Ethernet at the desktop. Ethernet was cheaper, says Hewitt network design engineer Ben Spizziri, but the company's critical Benefits Administration Application runs over SNA. "To run SNA over Ethernet, we would have to do new kinds of source-routing, which we weren't familiar with," Spizziri says. "We were uncomfortable with that."
Hewitt also has no qualms about opting for what is seen as a niche technology. "The directive to me was to put a network technology in this facility that will carry us for the next three years," Spizziri says. "These [token ring] products fit that directive very easily. The market is swaying now, with high-speed Ethernet, Gigabit Ethernet, ATM. The jury is still out on what is the wave of the future."
For now, many companies are clinging to what they know--and no networking vendor is better known than Cisco. AlliedSignal Inc. recently picked Cisco Catalyst switches to boost bandwidth to accommodate new enterprisewide ERP and intranet applications, as well as to handle Internet access and an extranet for suppliers and customers.
The $30 million Cisco contract is an extension of AlliedSignal's four-year-old relationship with the supplier. In the context of all the networking industry's many technology initiatives and vendors, AlliedSignal needed a proven partner, says Jim Carr, AlliedSignal manager of WAN services. "We've invested in the infrastructure and realized the benefits by improving availability," Carr says. "Without that investment, we would never have been able to support the applications. It hurts when it doesn't work."
Photo of Bernie O'Neill by Giorgio Palmisano |