James,
I've done some reshuffling as well. The sealpoint portfolio is now about 25% cash, and that cash will be used to pay off a 9% mortgage. Once that's paid, the portfolio will be 100% invested again. What did I sell? Swisher, Pacificare, Medusa, and ALR. Swisher and ALR are tax loss partial offsets for the profits in Pacificare and Medusa. If I was bullish on the market, I wouldn't play this game. I hope to buy back Swisher and ALR cheaper.
Another portfolio is now 23% invested in the Prudent Bear Fund. It rose nearly 11% on October 27th, and "The Bear Book" brought it to my attention. This portfolio is the one that is short Nike, and long Ciena and HP along with Deswell, Telebras, and St. Joe. I'm looking at the best way to take a 10% Asian position in this portfolio as well, knowing that Telebras and Deswell move with Asia. I invested in APF when it looked cheap at 10, and got out around 9 5/8 thankfully. So I'm a bit burned on it. Also, Barton Biggs touted the Fund in his roundtabe, while it turns out that some Morgan Stanley funds were actually selling it.
It's nice the market has given us this extra cushion by running up so high - I've been fully invested the last 4 months - but now it certainly feels like time to take some equity off the table.
Mike |